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Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE : #BITCOIN on Daily TF, created the new lower low and had a retracement back tot he market structure point. Now, price can rejected from here and move further lower but fundamentally price can move further higher due to institutional…
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#VANA dropped further lower around 38% in profits, as said also buys are weak. Price now flipped the zone again forming a Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern can move higher but $6.34 area can be a rejection area.
#VANA goes as per then plan and moved higher. Price moved around 52% in profits, leaving behind the rejection area as it is. Time to secure some profits and trail the stops and Resistance is at $9.10 area.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#ETH goes into the consolidation and had a very strong breakout. Well, looking at the market structure its bearish and can dip this week.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE : #BITCOIN on WEEKLY TF, had a very strong closing previous weekly and this very there's barely any movement other than short term retracement. might push little move up and mid-week and dump is expected.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#DXY UPDATE : #DXY barely move this week any where and now retesting the zone a resistance, which gave a relief to the market slightly. If it fells from here then we can see further push in prices.
The Active Realized Price strengthens this assessment by providing a more accurate estimate of active investors' cost basis. With trading days historically split 50/50 above and below this metric, it serves as a crucial threshold separating bull and bear markets.
Currently, the Active Realized Price sits at $70,000, aligning with both the Short-Term Holder Cost Basis lower band and the lower boundary of the "air-gap" discussed earlier in the URPD metric. This significant confluence across multiple cost basis indicators makes this price region particularly noteworthy—potentially representing the final line of defense for bulls should a complete market capitulation occur.
in short : The Active Realized Price ($70k) serves as a key bull/bear market threshold and aligns with both the STH-CB lower band and the previously discussed URPD "air-gap" lower bound. This confluence creates a critical support zone that likely represents the bulls' final defense line in case of complete market capitulation.
Currently, the Active Realized Price sits at $70,000, aligning with both the Short-Term Holder Cost Basis lower band and the lower boundary of the "air-gap" discussed earlier in the URPD metric. This significant confluence across multiple cost basis indicators makes this price region particularly noteworthy—potentially representing the final line of defense for bulls should a complete market capitulation occur.
in short : The Active Realized Price ($70k) serves as a key bull/bear market threshold and aligns with both the STH-CB lower band and the previously discussed URPD "air-gap" lower bound. This confluence creates a critical support zone that likely represents the bulls' final defense line in case of complete market capitulation.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
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Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE : #BITCOIN on WEEKLY TF, moved very slowly and barely moved any. the Seller impact still lasting and still in the selling area. Price can have a dip and might move lower. Weekly closing over $85,000 - $86,000 will give slightly relief…
#BTC gave a weekly close a slightly bigger than previous one and respected the trendline. Price even flipped the resistance area, and now we need to see a HTF candle closing.
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Trading Crypto Guide ™
#US30 UPDATE : #US30 moved perfectly and move towards the 41,000 area and even more. This a fantastic move to be caught and moved 8.8% in favor. In you haven't books its time to make some profit booking and move stops to breakeven.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BTC gave a weekly close a slightly bigger than previous one and respected the trendline. Price even flipped the resistance area, and now we need to see a HTF candle closing.
#BTC gave a close over in H4 TF and in Daily TF as well. Now its retracing back to the level and can push further higher with NY open.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#GOLD UPDATE : #GOLD reversed back flipped the zone and retested it. Price had a strong jump moved 2.65% in favor. Well, its a new All-Time Highs, nothing much, better wait for the dip in prices.
Bitcoin's cyclical dynamics involve capital rotation between investor cohorts, tracked by the Accumulation Trend Score. Values near 1 (dark purple) indicate accumulation, while near 0 (yellow) signal distribution.
Historical patterns show accumulation cycles followed by distribution phases that typically lead to price weakness. The current distribution phase began in January 2025, coinciding with Bitcoin's drop from $108k to $93k. With the Accumulation Trend Score below 0.1, persistent sell-side pressure continues.
Historical patterns show accumulation cycles followed by distribution phases that typically lead to price weakness. The current distribution phase began in January 2025, coinciding with Bitcoin's drop from $108k to $93k. With the Accumulation Trend Score below 0.1, persistent sell-side pressure continues.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
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Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BTC gave a weekly close a slightly bigger than previous one and respected the trendline. Price even flipped the resistance area, and now we need to see a HTF candle closing.
#BTC flipped, retested and now moving higher again as anticipated. Now, it might form a triangle pattern which can decide the further movement of the market. we're bullish as long as Daily candle is over $85,000.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BTC.D again break below of the support, and we saw a minor jumps in alts and a good rally in few meme coins. Also, now its in a trendline and can push further higher which might lead in dump in prices.
#BTC.D gave a break the trendline and just trying to hold over it, Alts started giving small jumps and a Daily candle closing below 61.25% would bring the shirt-term rally in the market.
The Accumulation Trend Score tracks aggregate onchain balance changes but is skewed by large entities and lacks granular cost-basis details. The Cost Basis Distribution (CBD) Heatmap offers deeper insights, revealing supply concentration.
Between mid-December and late February, investors actively accumulated Bitcoin in the $95k-$98k range, indicating continued confidence in the bull trend and viewing pullbacks as temporary pauses before potential upside.
Between mid-December and late February, investors actively accumulated Bitcoin in the $95k-$98k range, indicating continued confidence in the bull trend and viewing pullbacks as temporary pauses before potential upside.