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#BTC did shoot up with a strong bullish candle and Had a Engulfing closing over the resistance now in Daily TF. Price now retesting the zone and can further move higher.
#BTC had a candle close over the zone but its again gave a close below too in same TF. In H$ it looks like a retracement now and potentially can move further up, by NY open.
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BREAKING: 🇺🇸 President Trump authorizes 90-Day Pause on Tariffs but for china its now 125% Tarrif
Now, China raises tariffs on US to 125%.
Bull markets typically balance long-term investor profit-taking with new buyer demand.
Looking at Long-Term Holder (LTH) profits since breaking previous cycle highs, this cycle shows similar profit-taking to past cycles, proving strong demand has absorbed substantial selling pressure.
Notably, LTHs still hold an unusually large portion of total wealth this late in the cycle. This suggests unique market dynamics ahead with significant capital remaining tightly held.
Looking at Long-Term Holder (LTH) profits since breaking previous cycle highs, this cycle shows similar profit-taking to past cycles, proving strong demand has absorbed substantial selling pressure.
Notably, LTHs still hold an unusually large portion of total wealth this late in the cycle. This suggests unique market dynamics ahead with significant capital remaining tightly held.
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#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE : #BITCOIN on Daily TF, just consolidated this week and just a have a retest after the breakout. Price can drop further lower and by next week or still maintain the consolidation. Price is now more driven by fundamental news, so better…
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#TON break the range and support too, with that its now falling lower and expected to continue so. Price can have a retest and shorting can be done with LTF confirmations.
#TON haven't give a retest and dropped hard, in between price consolidated and reached the Major Support Zone, and reacting. Potentially we can see some sort of short-term pullback.
Bitcoin has been in a downtrend lately, trading 30% below its all-time high. Since February, prices have mainly stayed between $76k-$85k. Whenever prices drop toward $76k, buyers step in and push prices back up.
The Realized Profit/Loss Ratio helps explain this pattern. When this ratio falls below 1.0, it means more investors are taking losses than profits. This often signals seller exhaustion and leads to short-term rebounds.
Each dip into the $76k-$80k range has coincided with this ratio dropping below 1.0, triggering relief rallies. However, the market hasn't shown sustained strength yet as it's still recovering from the emotional impact of the $109k peak.
The Realized Profit/Loss Ratio helps explain this pattern. When this ratio falls below 1.0, it means more investors are taking losses than profits. This often signals seller exhaustion and leads to short-term rebounds.
Each dip into the $76k-$80k range has coincided with this ratio dropping below 1.0, triggering relief rallies. However, the market hasn't shown sustained strength yet as it's still recovering from the emotional impact of the $109k peak.
What Is Yield Sensitivity?
The concept of yield sensitivity is vital to investors because it is a measure of how much the price of an asset will fluctuate because of an interest rate change. The higher the yield sensitivity, the more likely it is that the asset's price will decline on the rise of the interest rates.
Yield sensitivity can be positive or negative depending on whether a change in interest rate impacts the price of a bond positively or negatively.
It is typically measured by calculating the percentage change in price that would occur if a bond's coupon rate were to increase one percentage point. So, for example, a bond with a $1,000 par value that has a coupon rate of 5% and is currently selling for $1,050 would have a yield sensitivity of 5%. This means that if interest rates were to rise by just 1%, the bond's value would drop by 5%—to $950.
Treating interest rate sensitivity as an investment characteristic can help investors make better decisions about their portfolios.
Because interest rates affect the values of bonds and other fixed-income investments, investors need to be aware of their own sensitivity to interest rate changes when deciding how much exposure these securities should have in their portfolios.
Investors who are more sensitive to increases in interest rates tend to prefer investments with lower interest rate sensitivity — because they will be less likely to lose money if the market moves against them. Investors who aren't very concerned with rising interest rates tend to favor investments with higher interest rate sensitivity — because they aren't overly concerned with the value of the investment being negatively affected by a change in prevailing interest rates.
The concept of yield sensitivity is vital to investors because it is a measure of how much the price of an asset will fluctuate because of an interest rate change. The higher the yield sensitivity, the more likely it is that the asset's price will decline on the rise of the interest rates.
Yield sensitivity can be positive or negative depending on whether a change in interest rate impacts the price of a bond positively or negatively.
It is typically measured by calculating the percentage change in price that would occur if a bond's coupon rate were to increase one percentage point. So, for example, a bond with a $1,000 par value that has a coupon rate of 5% and is currently selling for $1,050 would have a yield sensitivity of 5%. This means that if interest rates were to rise by just 1%, the bond's value would drop by 5%—to $950.
Treating interest rate sensitivity as an investment characteristic can help investors make better decisions about their portfolios.
Because interest rates affect the values of bonds and other fixed-income investments, investors need to be aware of their own sensitivity to interest rate changes when deciding how much exposure these securities should have in their portfolios.
Investors who are more sensitive to increases in interest rates tend to prefer investments with lower interest rate sensitivity — because they will be less likely to lose money if the market moves against them. Investors who aren't very concerned with rising interest rates tend to favor investments with higher interest rate sensitivity — because they aren't overly concerned with the value of the investment being negatively affected by a change in prevailing interest rates.
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#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE : #BITCOIN on WEEKLY TF, rejected from the Weekly and daily resistance and might have a lower dip towards the market structure point.
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#DXY UPDATE : #DXY gave a close below and and a sharp move drop due to tariff news events. Index even tapped the major support zone at 101.28 % - 101.63and flip the intermediate support too. Expected another fall in this if there's no news which can shake…
Looking at the broader context beyond short-term bounces reveals a more sobering picture for Bitcoin:
While we've seen repeated recoveries from the $76k-$80k range, these may be temporary reactions rather than signals of a genuine bullish trend.
Examining the 90-day simple moving average of the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio on a linear scale (rather than the more volatile daily logarithmic view) shows a significant decline since January. This smoother presentation cuts through daily noise to reveal the true trend.
Despite occasional short-term profit spikes, the broader momentum continues downward. This suggests weaker overall market liquidity and declining investor profitability in the bigger picture.
The evidence doesn't yet support a fundamental bullish shift in market momentum, even with these periodic relief rallies from support levels.
While we've seen repeated recoveries from the $76k-$80k range, these may be temporary reactions rather than signals of a genuine bullish trend.
Examining the 90-day simple moving average of the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio on a linear scale (rather than the more volatile daily logarithmic view) shows a significant decline since January. This smoother presentation cuts through daily noise to reveal the true trend.
Despite occasional short-term profit spikes, the broader momentum continues downward. This suggests weaker overall market liquidity and declining investor profitability in the bigger picture.
The evidence doesn't yet support a fundamental bullish shift in market momentum, even with these periodic relief rallies from support levels.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#ETH gave a new lower low and but now its pumping higher and now approaching towards the major resistance area. Fundamental factors are driving the prices now.
#ETH perfectly tapped into the major resistance and dropped. Price now retraced back up to the range and broke the trendline too. Price still looking bearish in the market can drop once again.
#OM lost more than 90% of its value
with that it lost $3.5B of Marketcap in few hours
Some People saying next Luna Crash
with that it lost $3.5B of Marketcap in few hours
Some People saying next Luna Crash