The Short-Term Holder cost basis has historically acted as an important reference level across bull-market uptrends. We have calculated the ±1σ bands of the Short-Term Holder Cost-Basis, which have typically acted as a sort of upper and lower bound for local price action.

At the moment, these levels are trading at:

Short-Term Holder Cost-Basis +1σ: $130k
Short-Term Holder Cost-Basis: $92k
Short-Term Holder Cost-Basis -1σ: $71K

This week, the spot price has sold off below the Short-Term Holder Cost-Basis, and is currently trading between this level, and the lower -1σ band.

Here's the Analysis of #MKR :

#MKR is not clear at all just following the resistance line and moving lower. Price holding the strong support zone around $981 - $1014. Buys can be good for scalping purpose and need to wait for the price.

#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on Daily TF, still moving bearish with a down market structure and forming a bear flag. With that, price forming a sideway and next week we might continue moving lower.

#VANA goes as per then plan and moved higher. Price moved around 52% in profits, leaving behind the rejection area as it is. Time to secure some profits and trail the stops and Resistance is at $9.10 area.

#ETH dipped as per the call as its already at a resistance area and now taking the zone as support. Now it can potential move further higher, if #BTC sustains nearby $85,000.

#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on WEEKLY TF, moved very slowly and barely moved any. the Seller impact still lasting and still in the selling area. Price can have a dip and might move lower. Weekly closing over $85,000 - $86,000 will give slightly relief rally.

#DXY UPDATE :

#DXY again barely moved any side and failing to give closure any side. With that, price might have a rejection and can move lower, which again can lead in rally in the market.

The Active Realized Price strengthens this assessment by providing a more accurate estimate of active investors' cost basis. With trading days historically split 50/50 above and below this metric, it serves as a crucial threshold separating bull and bear markets.

Currently, the Active Realized Price sits at $70,000, aligning with both the Short-Term Holder Cost Basis lower band and the lower boundary of the "air-gap" discussed earlier in the URPD metric. This significant confluence across multiple cost basis indicators makes this price region particularly noteworthy—potentially representing the final line of defense for bulls should a complete market capitulation occur.

in short : The Active Realized Price ($70k) serves as a key bull/bear market threshold and aligns with both the STH-CB lower band and the previously discussed URPD "air-gap" lower bound. This confluence creates a critical support zone that likely represents the bulls' final defense line in case of complete market capitulation.

Here's the Analysis of #LAYER :

#LAYER kept on rejecting from the resistance after making a high in the listing. Price is also holding from the trendline and might move higher but that risky Need to see a flip over $1.25.

#BTC gave a weekly close a slightly bigger than previous one and respected the trendline. Price even flipped the resistance area, and now we need to see a HTF candle closing.

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#US30 UPDATE :

#US30 now retracing good and strongly moving up, but overall expectation would be a rejection from the 43,000 area as weekly resistance.

#BTC gave a close over in H4 TF and in Daily TF as well. Now its retracing back to the level and can push further higher with NY open.

#GOLD UPDATE :

#GOLD moved slightly higher after the update, its decent move caught and now forming the small wedge pattern, which a break can move the price further higher or lower in case of break below.

Bitcoin's cyclical dynamics involve capital rotation between investor cohorts, tracked by the Accumulation Trend Score. Values near 1 (dark purple) indicate accumulation, while near 0 (yellow) signal distribution.

Historical patterns show accumulation cycles followed by distribution phases that typically lead to price weakness. The current distribution phase began in January 2025, coinciding with Bitcoin's drop from $108k to $93k. With the Accumulation Trend Score below 0.1, persistent sell-side pressure continues.

Here's the Analysis of #W :

#W kept on diving lower and low towards its listing price around $0.0475 - $0.060 but gave a short-term break on the consolidation in the LTF. Price can still dip lower so take it accordingly.

#BTC flipped, retested and now moving higher again as anticipated. Now, it might form a triangle pattern which can decide the further movement of the market. we're bullish as long as Daily candle is over $85,000.

#BTC.D gave a break the trendline and just trying to hold over it, Alts started giving small jumps and a Daily candle closing below 61.25% would bring the shirt-term rally in the market.